My head says Diaz, but I want Malignaggi to win. He will need to show a lot, lot more than he did against Hatton. That means trying to throw punches and in combination before getting out the way and doing it again. If he can have a decent enough output, he can pull it off. Diaz is just going to work and work and I can't see Paulie worrying him too much with his pitty patter. Needs to rough Diaz up a little and try to cut/swell him up a bit.

It all depends on if Paulie can raise his game like against Cotto or if he is just going to muddle through like against Hatton. He must throw that right though and do if often, because a jab alone is likely not enough.