My heart says Cotto. My head says Pac. If this fight took place before Cotto had faced Margerito...i would pick Cotto to win without hesitation. But since that fight...there are several question marks about Miguel and Pac has gained huge momentum. Things that worry me about Cotto at the moment: 1) how will his body react to coming down to 145. Sure, on paper 2 pounds isn't much...but you never know what losing weight can do to a fighters stamina (and Cotto's stamina is not as great as Pac's). 2) has he truly recovered mentally and physically from the Margerito fight. He showed heart against Clottey...but he also seemed a bit more plodding than usual. While Pac is a fighter with weaknesses...he is relentless and supremely confident. Does Cotto still got what it takes menetally and physically to match that? 3) and this is the biggest question for me. Does Cotto's trainer have the experience to draw up the right game plan and also handle this stage? I will be honest (and it could be me reading too much into 24/7), Cotto seems to be training himself for this fight (and no...i don't mean to agree with Roach). Cotto will be at a physical disadvantage for this fight. Pac is clearly faster and Cotto absolutely cannot depend on the whole "i am bigger and stronger" theory. He will have to fight a technical fight and offset Pac's hand and foot speed advantage. Pac, for all of his improvements, basically still fights one way: jumps in with flurries. Cotto needs to use his great jab and draw Pac in to counter him...and then later in the fight try to assert his power shots. Cotto will also need to have a good start and control the pace of the fight early. If pac gets off to a good start...i don't see Cotto having the legs to make it up later in the fight. Are him and his team up for that? I have no idea. Both fighters love to mix it up...so there is potential for fireworks. But if Cotto doesn't fight smart and instead try to out strength Pac by chasing him and hoping to pin against the ropes...this fight could end early for Miguel. pac certainly has his own issue: too many distractions, over confident after over hyped wins over Oscar and Hatton, etc. So it will be interesting to see how he comes into this fight as well. I hope it's a great fight!