I will pick Cotto, but of course I admit a little bias. But I was just thinking of the Mosley fight and I saw a lot there that gives me confidence that Cotto will beat Manny.
1. Mosley neutralized Cotto's left hook to the body by simply holding his left during clinches. Cotto adapted, as he does very well, and boxed Mosley more. The jab was on point and Mosley was very confused throughout the fight (look at his face in between rounds). Even when Mosley came on in the late rounds, Cotto boxed superbly.
2. Mosley's comments at the end of the fight say it all. He said of Cotto: "he's a pretty good boxer too."
3. Basically, if Cotto comes out in a controlled manner, like he did against Clottey in the last fight, and establishes the jab first and everything else second, I don't see how he can lose.


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