Pacquiao is set up nicely to be taken apart by a counterpuncher. I think he wins this fight, but the fact is it's easy to not be hit when your opponent is not that good (David Diaz), weight-drained (Oscar) or fighting like a drunk (Hatton). I think he beats Cotto, but Pacquiao is not hard to find if you're a healthy accurate puncher, which Cotto is.
Only 3 other guys he's fought I can say that about (bar Oscar for the reasons above) & that's Barrera & Morales to a point, & especially Marquez who for me is possibly the most accurate puncher in the sport.
Pacquiao is not hard to hit, he just had a good chin at the lower weights. He hasn't been caught by anything in a few fights. I think he wins this because I suspect Cotto is damaged goods & will give away too many rounds so as far as I'm concerned Pacquiao makes it to the final bell he wins. But the fact is at some point Cotto WILL catch him. We'll have to see how Pacquiao handles it.
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