Analysis: Pacquiao - Margarito

[El Kabong]

Well vs Mosley Tony showed he could take punishment but you saw in that fight (as opposed to the Cotto fight) that when Tony got tagged he wouldn't throw back as often...he'd try to but there was a hang up a sense of desperation as soon as he got hit. Its like Tony realized "I don't have my wraps loaded, I can't hurt him" and his body language was so much different. VS Cotto Tony would get rocked and give it right back as if he was saying "I can take it and dish it out even harder than you"...I think he's a broken fighter mentally. I think the mental edge a fighter has is limitless until its broken and vs Mosley, Margarito got broken down. All Pac has to do is to push him to that level again and Tony will quit on himself.

I think Pac allows Tony to come forward and he'll draw him into a huge left uppercut and either Tony will be KO'd or his fighting spirit will vacate his body and the fight or flight system will shut down and he'll be beaten into submission

[albsur2006]

This fight is going to be good to watch. It's either going to be Manny completely destroying Margarito, or it's gonna be a competitive fight. Mosley employed a very easy game plan against Margarito: use movement and hand speed to land punches, hold to recover and thwart any Marg offense, push off to get space again, then repeat it all over again. And it worked to perfection. In the Pac/Marg fight, I think Marg has to continue pressure regardless of the punishment a la Cotto. Pac will not hold like Mosley did, he'll use his brilliant footwork to get around, but he won't hold. This means that eventually Marg will definitely get chances to mount an offense. It's up to him if he wants to fight, and I believe he does. But I think Manny's handspeed and footspeed will thwart Marg's offense each time he gets close to starting it. And the way Tony leans in, doesn't bode well for him AT ALL against Manny. Manny UD 12.