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Adamek is obviously quick and in shape, but the 12 rounds part is HIGHLY debateable due to Vitali's KO ratio and Adamek's natural size. Adamek COULD last 12 rounds if Vitali doesn't land anything significant but once again odds aren't supporting that happening.
Adamek has to stick and move, and no panic when hurt...he's got to have a plan of action for when Vitali lands and follow it no matter what. I think it's brave for Adamek to take this fight, but I don't see him having much of a chance at all I say Vitali's chances of winning the fight are about 98% to Adamek's 2%.
2% really Lyle ?
Thats fucking nonsense and you know it. Obviously, you've got to favor Vitali for his sheer size, power and reach. But the man is quite mechanical and getting up there in age.
Adamek proved that he does not "panic" when he's hit hard, seein as Arreola smashed on him a few times, and Golota connected as well, both big punchers.
I'd say Adamek has at least a good 30% chance of winning maybe more. He has good stamina and could outbox Vitali, but its going to require a lot of getin in and getin out and he could get caught on the way in with a big straight right hand.
"You knocked him down...now how bout you try knockin me down ?"
No it's not nonsense because Adamek isn't known for his defense and well Vitali isn't known for losing rounds. It's not as if Arreola was blown out by Adamek...Tomaz scraped by with a Majority Decision.
I give Adamek 1.5% chance of winning by decision and a .5% chance of winning by stoppage....I'm not saying I'm certain Vitali will stop Adamek....well yeah, let's go with I'm CERTAIN Vitali will stop Adamek...sig bet?
"You knocked him down...now how bout you try knockin me down ?"
I didn't watch Adamek - McBride because I didn't figure there was a hell of a lot to see, I do know from reading about it that Adamek won by UD.
Basically the McBride fight did nothing but keep Adamek active until his fight with Vitali in September, in regards to that fight: Adamek likely goes the distance with Vitali, but takes a pounding. Like someone said, unless Vitali injures inself, (another torn rotator cuff, or some such shit) Adamek has no chance of winning. I'm not saying Vitali will blow Adamek away, just saying I can't see any way Adamek can win, either by decision or a stoppage.
I'm not saying Adamek isn't skilled, he's EXTREMELY talented otherwise he'd have lost by now. I only make such an outrageous bet because of Vitali's knack for stopping fighters who apparently don't mind getting hit.
So its agreed sig bet on a stoppage win for Vitali or I lose.
Adamek is a hell of a fighter, don't know anyone who doesn't care to see that dude fight, he's just not got enough weapons to go the distance....too much heart. Shannon Briggs was shot but he was also a lifetime heavyweight and not some blown up (albeit extremely skilled) cruiserweight
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Adamek is fairly talented I guess but his presence in the heavyweight division is not remotely exciting to me.
I agree with Lyle, he has no chance against the Klitschko's whatsoever. He doesn't have a punchers chance, and Vitali will just be able to walk through him. He is durable and may survive, but only because he won't do anything to pressure Vitali and he will be able to coast to any easy, massively lopsided decision win.
If he tries to win he will get knocked out.
I don't really understand all the pluadits he gets, I mean he's had to go the distance with Kevin McBride and Michael Grant. His fight with Arreola was back and forth until Arreola's injury.
These kind of chump opponents are just fodder for the Klitschko's and all Adamek has shown to me is that he is slightly above that level.
Kevin Mcbride was lucky to get through the first round of Prizefighter, he hasn't won a fight since fucking 2006 and has been knocked out six times. I can't even see how he was considered a legit opponent for Adamek. He would be a soft opponent for even Tyson Fury. Going 12 rounds with him is frankly embarrassing for a supposed title hope.
Grant and Mcbride are appalling opposition for a supposed world title challenger. Are they even in the top 50?
Last edited by Kev; 04-12-2011 at 01:49 AM.
Vitali will be 40 when he fights Adamek, and he won't bring the same punching power that used to knock his previous opponents out. He is not sitting down on his punches anymore (something that is happening with Tua) and if Adamek can neutralize Vitali's pawing jab, its a long night.
2%, come on, at heavyweight everybody has 2% chance. I would say its 70-30 in Klitschko's favor.
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