Re: how chino can pull off an upset
I don't know about anyone else, but I don't just watch fights. I study the fighters and take note of what they're doing right and doing wrong. Granted you cant tell everything about a fighter from their best or worst moments, but you can study the fighter and see the opportunities, mistakes, hesitations there from fight to fight. Whether a particular fighter can take advantage is anyone's guess/opinion.
What we (armchair trainers included) may have seen on floyd:
Jabs to the body and straight punches can get him into a defensive posture. That can put you in a position to score with punches. His best offense comes from him using his speed to bridge the gap and tag you, then push off and get out of range. If he's already in range and caught with his feet wide, he's usually looking to counter punch. If he transitions to offense too fast (before he can step out and gain distance) and looks to lead with punches when already in range (where he normally looks to counter), he's not using his world famous defense.
Again. When caught in range, he's not good at leading. This is a range where he relies on his defense and counter punching.
He rarely comes across someone quick enough to take advantage when hes coming to them from the outside.
When you look at most of the work Ortiz and Castillo got done against mayweather. Its using straight punches to drive floyd back and taking advantage of him being in a defensive posture. Backing off and then getting right back on him before he has a chance to walk away or bridge the gap with his speed and land first.
As Emmanuel Agustus (floyds self professed toughest fight) found gradually realized, you cant cant stand in front of floyd and not throw punches. Agustus with determination and awkward footwork working in different ranges had floyd constantly changing his mind between offense and defense and got a lot of work done in between.
In 18 years, everyone tried to outbox him or out fight him. Noone out thought him. No fighters unbeatable. You just have to know what to look for. Floyds most important weapon is his brain and his reflexes. They can be used against him if you know the cues hes looking for. Chino could land a shot in an exchange, but to following the above, requires more natural ability and training than he possesses at this point. Just my opinion.
They want your @$$ beat because upsets make news. News brings about excitement, excitement brings about ratings. The objective is to bring you up to the tower and tear your @$$ down. And if you don't believe that, you're crazy.
Roy Jones, Jr. "What I've Learned," Esquire 2003
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