I'm not saying it from a point of view of whether he wins or not, that's another debate altogether. I'm saying it from an inactivity, relevance and Boxing politics point of view.
he hasn't fought for 12 months. if the Wlad fight doesn't go ahead, it'll be another 4-6 months before he fights , unless he has a "stay busy" tomato can which will be meaningless and not financially attractive. He won't be fighting AJ for at least a year , I think we can agree on that, and even if he did get the chance, he wouldn't want to have 12-18 months of ring rust going into it. The same applies to Wilder, add to that Wilder is injured and wouldn't go straight into a unification.
if Tyson is 18 months between fights, people (general public, not you) will have forgotten what he did against Wlad. add to that , during this time , AJ is bowling guys over , building up his profile.
Secretly Tyson will be frustrated that he's not getting some of the gravy train, (and I don't blame him, so would I be!)
Finally, whether we like it or not, the powers that be (Governing bodies , promoters , etc. ) would love nothing more than to fuck Tyson around a bit and "Put him in his place".
I'm not saying this to have a pop, far from it. I actually feel that Fury deserves to make some serious cash , but sometimes the World's not fair.
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