Hurricane Season is Upon Us

[Andre]

Think I would move away, your stuck between the devil and the deep blue sea.If you go up high then your further up into the wind. If you go down low your going to drown in the cellar. Not good.

[Youngblood]

Glad to see things didn't turn out catastrophic for the Big Easy, Spicoli, and hope you get back home soon and find minimal damage and power on soon.

The tropics have certainly been active of late, producing cyclone after cyclone. Hannah caused a lot of mayhem as well as loss of life in Hispaniola, but hasn't intensified or taken the tracks expected, but looks like it will soon make a run into the South Eastern US as a TS or Cat. 1 hurricane.

Behind that is Ike, now a Cat. 4 fighting off wind shear to remain strong as it tracks towards Florida and will likely fluctuate. So if you live there, start paying attention and consider preparations. This looks like it could be a major cat. 3 or 4 on 5 days or so.

Behind that is Josephine, a tropical storm that is fighting heavy wind shear to keep it's formation, but seems as of now to have a northwesterly track not posing any immediate threat or concerns to land, if it even survives.

The season is now in its prime and most dangerous time, and will be for a while. So if you are a coastal resident, keep yourself informed and prepared.

Click on red icons below in link to read further predictions of cyclones discussions and advisories.

National Hurricane Center

Again, hope all is well Spicoli when you make it back.

[Wadeb_21]

I actually live in the Tampa Florida area so I'm always keeping my eye out when hurricanes are coming. I'm hoping we have another safe year, September is the worst month though.

[Youngblood]

The earlier predictions for hurricane Ike showed it heading into the east coast of Florida, but as of today the forecasting track has changed. As much as this is good news for east Florida, it isn't for gulf coast residents.

Ike has taken a south westerly track and as of now looks to be heading into Cuba. Although this will weaken its status, all signs point for it to be heading into the gulf. Once there, it should regain strength. Determining factors, such as how it interacts with land, any southern or northern deviation to track can and will change its current trajectory. The next 48 hours will be important in its development as well as direction. As of now, it is heading towards Cuba a Cat. 3, and will likely strengthen into a strong Cat. 4. Haiti, still reeling from hurricane Gustav and Hannah, is expected to take a glancing blow with TS winds and rain to an already saturated landscape.

No one seems to be saying much regarding it's potential track, for most northern gulf residents don't want to even consider the possibility of what could come. That being another strike very close to New Orleans. But as of now, early in the forecast, the possibility is definately there.

All gulf residents should be paying close attention to it.

Hurricane IKE


Tropical Floater Four Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

Tropical Atlantic Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

[Youngblood]

Heads up Texas, here comes Ike.

After doing significant damage to Cuba, causing further loss of life in Haiti, reeking havoc throughout the Bahamas, it is now emerging into the Gulf of Mexico with all signs and conditions pointing to a rapid intensification with little wind shear, and favorable warm waters and eddies it its path allowing it to grow into a major hurricane by landfall.

Click 'discussion' and or 'public advisories' on the top for further info. on the forecast and warnings as it progresses.

Hurricane IKE

[Spicoli]

Heads up Texas, here comes Ike.

After doing significant damage to Cuba, causing further loss of life in Haiti, reeking havoc throughout the Bahamas, it is now emerging into the Gulf of Mexico with all signs and conditions pointing to a rapid intensification with little wind shear, and favorable warm waters and eddies it its path allowing it to grow into a major hurricane by landfall.

Click 'discussion' and or 'public advisories' on the top for further info. on the forecast and warnings as it progresses.

Hurricane IKE

Not wishing this beast on anyone but I need a breather.Guess we wont be going to the El Govener In Panama city after all . Seriously my Texan brotheren.....get geared up,Ike should grow and looks to be serious.

[Youngblood]

Updating hourly google news on hurricane Ike link, now a Cat. 2 hurricane and growing:

hurricane ike - Google News


Close live floater satellite: Tropical Floater Four Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

Live Gulf of Mexico satellite: Gulf of Mexico Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

Atlantic wide view loop satellite: Tropical Atlantic Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

[Youngblood]

The hurricane season is winding down, but not giving up. The oceans are warm, but the trade winds generally don't allow for much in the way of serious formations at this time of the year that pose any threat to land...and wind shear too presents difficulties.

In spite of that, meet Hurricane Paloma.

National Hurricane Center

Seeing as it formed in the low western Caribbean, this helped give it the opportunity to traverse the warm ocean waters in a north/northeasterly track to rapidly intensify to it's current strength.

Cuba, clearly this seasons most favorite target for swirling monsters of the deep, once again looks to be in the sights.

It is a small hurricane at present but will grow some before landfall. It could easily become a Cat 2, maybe even 3 or 4. Eye wall replacement and shear will decide.

Tropical Floater One Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

Tropical Atlantic Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

I was planning on finishing up this thread soon with a rundown of this seasons storms, their paths, and any trends...but as of now,the season is still alive and well.

[CGM]

I know people who have been hit head on by a CAT5 hurricane, and they tell me there's nothing quite like the sound of the roof being torn off your house while you're inside of it.

[Youngblood]

Hurricane Paloma now a dangerous Category 4 hurricane, after a rapid intensification cycle as it heads towards Cuba, after battering the Cayman Islands a powerful Cat. 3.

Hurricane Puloma - Google News

It should run into heavy wind shear soon, likely right before hitting Cuba and this will/should weaken it some. But when storms get this strong...they are less likely to be affected by shear as dramatically.

After hitting Cuba...it is expected to quickly lose strength and dissapate in the mid Atlantic.

Click the above links in my previous post above for live satellite feeds of the storm, as well as hurricane center updates.

[Youngblood]

Well Folks, is it Hurricane Season 2009!

And we are off to a very slow start. It was early July last year when we began a busy year, and saw numerous big hurricanes, and once again many hurricanes making landfall in our current cycle of better then average seasons. There was lot of devastation in property. There was much loss of life.

This year was/is predicted to be a slow season. The main reason for this is the forming of El Nino this year in the Pacific Ocean, which has the ability to change the trade winds enough to make the environment inconducive for what the storms need. That being low wind shear, and warm waters. And so far, it has done just that. All across the Atlantic basin, high level winds have been tearing the tops off of low pressure thunderstorms, and cooler then normal SST(sea surface temperatures), have not allowed for their growth to date.

But we are in the peak of it now thru until the end of October, and it`s beginning to finally heat up.

So say hello to your first Atlantic born Tropical Storm, Ana.

National Hurricane Center (you can click on it, to follow it`s growth and trajectory, warnings, etc)

People in Puerto Rico, Haiti, The Dominican, Bahamas and Florida should start paying attention.

And behind that is another low pressure system with the potential to rapidly turn tropical storm, hurricane etc. and bears having a look to see how it progresses.

Atlantic Wide Satellite Loop : Tropical Atlantic Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division



That`s it for now.