Re: Predictive theories of boxing matches
This is my first salvo on the Duck-Ped fight. I've seen many folks here and elsewhere who say that it would be an easy fight for Floyd against Manny since Floyd easily beat Marquez against whom Pac struggled against and was ultimately KO'd by. Let me say that that is a very simplistic and somewhat erroneous assumption. I really don't blame them though as most of them, sometimes even the so-called X-perts, don't really understand the intricacies of boxing.
Most of you probably heard that style makes fights, so let me start by saying Marquez' style and Floyd's are not the same. Marquez is almost a pure counter-puncher while Floyd is not. Floyd style is more closer to Bradley than Marquez. There is one big difference though, though Brad is a pretty good puncher speed and volume wise but still he is a conventional puncher - meaning he punches like most other good punchers, while Floyd is a very accurate puncher who chooses his shot very well. There is no name for Floyd's style so let me invent a name for it - it's more of a defensive and precision pot-shot-er (ya, ya, it wasn't nice sounding but I think it did describe his style pretty well) - he masterfully dodges shots while accurately taking pot-shots at the slightest of opening in the opponents defense, not necessarily countering though.
Marquez lost to Floyd because he, the counter-puncher, tried to take an offensive role and did it half-heartedly, many times tentative and hesitant in his attacks, just running into Floyd's trap. Hatton did a better job because obviously he made up his mind to go for an all-out offense, a kamikaze attack. He charged into Floyd and got him with some nice shots but was tagged with more and better shots on the way. That took toll on him later and by around the middle of the fight, he was gassed out and pretty much beaten up.
Now don't forget, if Floyd is the best defensive fighter, Pac is the best offensive one. Now how both styles will fare on the ring is something that all serious boxing fans like me are waiting to see. Floyd has struggled sometimes with lesser puncher so how will he fare against arguably (I'm just saying 'arguably' to keep the haters away) the best puncher of this generation. I'm pretty sure that even at it's worst, it won't be as worse as many fan-boys think, if you know what I mean. That's obviously the reason why the odds are getting more even as the fight gets closer. That is why some great boxers like SRL and Holyfield are having hard time making up their minds, somewhat leaning towards Floyd but now it's a toss-up for them, and probably they'll change their minds again. (The great Nacho Beristein said he was sure Pac will win but just in few days he changed his mind and gave Pac 45% chance.) I'm leaning very slightly towards Floyd. One reason is I'm not sure if Pac's punch resistance is still fully intact after that great KO. But if he can take Floyd's punches, then I think it will be a pretty even fight - one part of me saying Pac will give lots of trouble with his high volume power shots that Floyd has never tasted, while the other part saying Floyd will keep on back-tracking, throwing those precision pot shots at Pac and Pac unable to do much, or maybe somewhere in-between...
(Sorry for any typo's, just don't have the time to check 'em now)
Once in awhile, get outside in fresh air, take a deep breath & with a deep sigh, let out all the things that's bottled up inside you & be free, & you'll get a glimpse of nirvana.