Re: Thurman/Guerrero & Broner/Molina...who wins and why?
I think Guerrero has already started winding down and I don't see him as having much power at the weight and hes always been rather slow. So i think he was picked for a reason. This is a match for Thurman to make a statement but comparing his performance against a common opponent with Floyd. Guerrero will come out and try to show Thurman he plans to be there all night, so Thurman may not be trying to outgun him early as much as he will potshot him with combos, move and then tie up, if he needs to. Then tear into him later. Thurman has show he can be caught with looping overhand rights while hes feinting and posturing and Guerrero could catch him but i dont think hes got the power and is probably slow to pull the trigger after a few wars. It goes against the grain with what has been said so far, but I think Thurman will try to get him out of there. I think his corner or the ref steps despite guerreros protests anywhere between 6 and 9. (also wouldn't be surprised to see guerrero come in less than stellar shape --call it a hunch)
For broner, I think Molina has a decent shot at this if he comes in as big as he was for Matthysse, and has the right game plan which may be harder than we think... as him and his trainer have this on again off again kind of training relationship. He is expected to just be a punching bag thats soft around the middle, gets bedazzled with speed and gives up. But Broner also being susceptible to looping right hands when he's leaning straight back in the philly shell and left hooks when he's moving and closing the distance could be golden opportunity dropped in the lap for someone who throws hooks and cuffs like Molina. I'll say molina gets some work done early, Broner whines and complains and a combination of being handcuffed by the ref and gassing (im not sure he'll be in shape of his life either), lines molina up to become the punching bag later. At which point broner will start acting like a bigger @$$ because he just cant help himself.
They want your @$$ beat because upsets make news. News brings about excitement, excitement brings about ratings. The objective is to bring you up to the tower and tear your @$$ down. And if you don't believe that, you're crazy.
Roy Jones, Jr. "What I've Learned," Esquire 2003
Bookmarks