Originally Posted by
mikeeod
Let me start by laying out my bias up front, so that anyone who reads this understands the lens I'm speaking from. First, I'm a 40 year old American male. Next, I've spent the last twenty years of my life in the military, and been numerous times to the Middle East (mostly on combat rotations but I did do an exchange/exercise in Israel). Finally, I am a registered republican but truly disgusted with BOTH parties.
With that out of the way: The majority of Americans haven't thought this issue through, and have zero depth or understanding of the problem set. Most Americans don't even realize that Iranians don't identify as Arabs, they are Persians. Afghanistan is similar in that sense, although Iran is much more modern and less tribal as a society.
Something to keep in mind when discussing this issue is that you have to think strategically, which means you have to remain unemotional. Both sides can point to atrocities or insults from the other. Iran can point out US meddling in Middle East affairs, overthrowing governments and proxy wars. The U.S. Can point to hostage taking, terrorist sponsorship (Hamas and Hezbollah), meddling in other countries' affairs and proxy attacks on U.S. Personnel in Iraq and Afghanistan. Strategic leaders understand that yesterday's enemy may be today's ally out of necessity, and that those countries who do not think strategically eventually find themselves isolated.
Next thing to look at is the Middle East in general, and Irans goals. Right now the Middle East is in a civil war, with Iran and the Shia battling with the Saudis and Sunnis for regional supremacy. If you look at which sect actually threatens the homeland, it is the Sunnis, who sponsor Al-Qaeda and ISIS, among other groups. 9/11 was carried out by Saudi sponsored Al-Qaeda, and Saudi has never suffered a moment in retaliation due to US reliance on their oil. If you look at the US's top enemies in the region, Iran is killing them as fast as we are.
Many don't realize how close the U.S. Was to normalizing relations with Iran prior to 9/11. There was unprecedented progress and there were overtures at the SECSTATE level to begin discussions. When 9/11 occurred, it wasn't widely reported that the first flowers to the embassies were from Iran, who pledged full support in the U.S.'s response to the attack. You can point to George W. Bush's "Axis of Evil" speech in 2002 to where Iran and North Korea both restarted their nuclear programs at full speed/force, most likely for a deterrent capability. Which brings us to today. I'm not a big fan of our current president, and I think he has gotten quite a bit wrong. That being said, we are fiscally constrained as a nation, and spread thin militarily. The last thing we can afford is another all out war or proxy fight for the foreseeable future. With that in mind, I think it is smart to partner with Iran, and use diplomacy and financial incentives to get them to abandon their nuclear pursuits, their sponsorship of extremist groups, and death to Israel propaganda/rhetoric.
Bookmarks