Originally Posted by
Mars_ax
Santorum is a fundy christian, who has no chance at winning the republican's nomination for president. Unless Romney pulls a major blunder in the next month or so he'll get the republican nod.
BTW, I like Romney's chances in November against Obama, I know i'll be voting for him, it's time to get a little sanity back in the whitehouse.
Just 40% of "whites" voted for Obama in 2008, that means an increase from 60% to 65-70%, of the white vote and Romney should get elected in 2012.
I agree that Romney is a much clearer front runner than the press is making the race out to be.
Republican Delegate Count - Election 2012 - NYTimes.com
Romney has 38.6% of the delegates he needs
Santorum has 15.8% of the delegates he needs
Gingrich has 9.4% of the delegates he needs
Paul has 4.0% of the delegates he needs
Huntsman has 0.2% of the delegates he needs
758 Delegates have cast and 1,528 remain so while it's true that only 1/3 of the delegates have cast
Romney's lead is quite strong. Add to that he has by far the deepest coffers for his own campaign as well as the most well-funded super pac.
Romney needs 47.3% of the remaining delegates to lock the candidacy (if 805 delegates cast for other candidates, he will be mathematically eliminated from the race) the soonest this could happen would be 5/8/12
Santorum needs 63.0% of the remaining delegates to lock the candidacy (if 565 delegates cast for other candidates, he will be mathematically eliminated from the race) the soonest this could happen would be 4/27/12
Gingrich needs 67.9% of the remaining delegates to lock the candidacy (if 490 delegates cast for other candidates, he will be mathematically eliminated from the race) the soonest this could happen would be 4/3/12
Paul needs 71.9% of the remaining delegates to lock the candidacy (if 429 delegates cast for other candidates, he will be mathematically eliminated from the race) the soonest this could happen would be 4/3/12
Huntsman needs 74.7% of the remaining delegates to lock the candidacy (if 386 delegates cast for other candidates, he will be mathematically eliminated from the race) the soonest this could happen would be 4/3/12
As shown above Romney has a survivability 2 weeks longer than Santorum and a month longer than any of the other 3 candidates.
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