I want to preface this by saying a couple of things...
1) I don't think Manfredo is that good.
2) Even so, if he hadn't been horribly mismanaged and trained by his father his whole career, he'd probably be holding a belt at 160 0r 168 right now.
3) I never thought Lacy was a world beater.
4) Joe C is a protected Euro champ, and no one was more surprised than him by his performance against Lacy.
5) Any retard can look at Manfredo's frame and know that he should probably have been fighting at 168 since he was about 22-23 years old. He's like Omar Shieka on steroids.
6) I put no stock in his victory over Shotberton, and not much stock in his victory over Spina.
All that said, I think Manfredo will last the 12 rounds, and in doing so expose Joe C. Manfredo is a tough, hard headed SOB, who's never been so much as knocked down in 29 professional, or 100+ amatuer fights. I'm not saying that Manfredo will win, but I really don't see him getting KTFO. Calzaghe doesn't hit that hard, and I know there's a lot to be said for punches in bunches, but Roach tightened up Manfredo's D quite a bit. Also, Calzaghe has admitted he's having a hard time getting up for this fight. He's also dissed Manfredo quite a bit. Bad idea. When Spina ran off at the mouth, Manfredo was climbing over the ref to get at him after the stoppage. Also, you can't forget the ceramic hand factor.
Here's how I like Manfredo's chances of victory against Joe C.
The Joe C that showed up for Lacy- 5%
-I'd say zero, buit Manfredo hits pretty hard at 168, and in boxing, anything can happen.
Average Joe C- 33%
-The guy just isn't that good. And he's been dropped by guys who don't hit as hard as Manfredo.
The Joe C that showed up for Bika- 66%
-Manfredo is a hell of a lot better than Bika.
So answer me this, if Manfredo survives the 12, or does the unthinkable and wins, will everyone say Joe C got exposed, or will people say Manfredo is better than everybody thought?
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