Consider this:

1. Mtagwa weighed in at 122 against Gamboa (for a 126-pound fight!!), and looked every bit the sickly, underweight opponent.

2. Lopez himself has too big a frame for 122, and his poor showing against Mtagwa in his last outing may have been due to fatigue from making that weight. He'll campaign at 126 for awhile, and maybe even move up from there.

3. Mtagwa was tailor-made for Gamboa's blinding speed. When you know you won't get hit back, you can afford to be more bold. Lopez will hit back.

That being said, however, I'll be biting my nails down to stubs if and when these two meet in the ring.