The question of whether or not Bryant Jennings (19-0) will be able to last the entire fight with the champion Wladimir Klitschko seems to be the question that dominates conversations.
It's sad that we have to talk about a "supposedly" major heavyweight title fight, relatively speaking, in terms of the challenger just being another notch on Wlad's belt. Well, it's just a testament to how dominant Wlad has been and really is.
Since Wlad's dismantling and abuse of former unbeaten challenger, Kubrat Pulev, it seems as if Wlad will retire as champion. We give him that too. Wlad is the best out there, by far and has beaten the best out there from what we have analysed- with the best being Kubrat Pulev.
So, the discussion of Jennings being competition really seems as idle chatter. Of course, Jennings is an American. And by far, by our standards, the best American heavyweight out there. Even better than newly crowned WBC champion, Deontay "The Bronze Bomber" Wilder. But being one of the best American heavyweights these days really isn't saying much.
Jennings, in our opinion, cannot do the job. We just don't see it. He is athletic, has talent, can take a moderate punch and can box a little plus, and the big plus for him, is that he has endurance. But, the champion he is facing in Wladimir Klitschko has all of that. Plus, Wlad has the extra factor- HE HITS HARD!!
Even with regard to the issue of taking a moderate punch, Wlad's punch resistance doesn't come into the situation anymore because his defence has gotten 100 times better than the last time he got knocked out by Lamon Brewster. He went down in the Samuel Peters fight three times, got back up and fought back.
The question of Jennings putting up a decent performance, and not necessarily saying that this would be his keys to victory, hinges on several factors:
1. Will Jennings get tired in the middle rounds and quit? Wlad will lean on him and hit him in the face. Will Jennings tire out and give up? The odds say that he is well conditioned, so it won't be a conditioning factor. It will all depend on if Jennings get tired of being hit in the face and jaw!
2. Defence. Can Jennings block more than half of Wlad's shots? He can. He keeps his hands up. Aside from being well conditioned with regard to his cardio-vascular conditioning, he is in tremendous shape muscle wise and treats his body well. Keeping his hands up will be key!
3. Can Jennings fight on the outside? Yes, can he? We know he is much smaller than Wlad, so the conventional wisdom would be for Jennings to burrow in to the inside. But we know that's what Wlad wants so he can lean on you and put his weight down on your back. Can Jennings win an outside fight, take moderate risks and take a few rips to the jaw and face and still hit Wlad back? And remain on the outside? Haye tried that... and it didn't work. It just did not work!
Coupled with point #2 on his defence, his last fight against the undefeated prospect Mike Perez showed that he can fight on the back foot and back hip. But he won a close split decision, and clearly Perez is no Wladimir Klitschko- although he has some technical skills.
4. Can Jennings stop Wlad from coming forward? The answer is flat out- NO! He does not have the power. Jennings is not a power-puncher, he is a volume puncher. A volume puncher in punch combinations, which aren't all that fast, but good enough. But what if he summons up some strength to keep Wlad off of him? The early rounds will tell us!
All in all, Jennings has a tough task. It's him in the ring, and the intangibles like OPPORTUNITY do factor in. Who knows what Wlad will come into the ring on fight night looking like, feeling like, and willing to open up and give Jennings something to swing for the fences on? Who knows?
But, the odds are severely stacked against Jennings. Clearly!
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