Hurricane Season is Upon Us

[Douglas]

...people avoided them by being smart enough to not build houses right on the beach

That woulda helped. Still, I can't imagine any travelers who were unfortunate enough to get caught in one.

[El Kabong]

Oh being on any type of ship would have SUCKED big time...could you imagine the first guys circumnavigating the globe Those guys had some cojones let me tell you.

[Spicoli]

...people avoided them by being smart enough to not build houses right on the beach

That woulda helped. Still, I can't imagine any travelers who were unfortunate enough to get caught in one.

Sometimes I wonder If it would be Better (mentally) without all of the Technology and Dopler tracking BS......You want histeria,Go to any "Big" store once a Hurricane is tracked for your area.People go absolutley insane and delerious with fear/Panic .I get to the point of almost laughing as people almost come to blows over the last pack of DD batteries or Case of water & tank of gas.Local TV,The radio,webcast....the watching inch by inch,minute by minute of the orange and red images can take a toll bigtime.I get to the point of turning it all off except for on the hour 2 minute updates and off it goes again.Not a damn thing I can do about where it is going or when it hits.......Just having my head on straight,being geared up and knowing where I am going,because those nasty B!!!ches are unpredictable,unyeilding and coming.

[El Kabong]

If it's not above a class 3 then it's not going to do much where I live...when I went to ECU I changed that to class 2 because I know better living in North Carolina.


I mean I am not going to go swimming in any bad weather much less a hurricane and I am not going to do anything crazy or anything I just wasn't going to evacuate or anything.


Had I been in New Orleans for Katrina...I would have packed a U-Haul, left and never gone back

[Spicoli]

If it's not above a class 3 then it's not going to do much where I live...when I went to ECU I changed that to class 2 because I know better living in North Carolina.


I mean I am not going to go swimming in any bad weather much less a hurricane and I am not going to do anything crazy or anything I just wasn't going to evacuate or anything.


Had I been in New Orleans for Katrina...I would have packed a U-Haul, left and never gone back

One great positive..nice waves butThats just it,One day it was hitting the pan handle of Flordia ?? and the next morning it was "Katrina who"?? We slept on it.....hindsight is 20/20 and brutal.Honestly,I am glad I went through it and stayed through it,Changed my life forever.I sat on the beach In Flordia after getting out in the post 2nd week and literally had my family Fuming and bewildered beacause I was driving back in here to see what was left of home & Buisness.The media really over pronounced alot of things,we are not the 3rd world or beheading people in the streets Lol.....Its home.But next time............Im not going to let the door hit me on the arse

[El Kabong]

When you're walking down the street and the water is being held back by a wall which is taller than you you need to leave if a big thunderstorm is coming much less a category 5 hurricane!

[Spicoli]

When you're walking down the street and the water is being held back by a wall which is taller than you you need to leave if a big thunderstorm is coming much less a category 5 hurricane!

Preaching to the choir Lyle

[Youngblood]

We are approaching one month in, and still no signs of anything drastic in the Atlantic. Although we are a long way from the peak of it and as the Ocean slowly heats up swirling natural monsters shall grow. Where they land and what intensity is anyones guess.

Se7en, I do not follow what goes on in the Pacific much, but remember reading not long ago that you were expecting a typhoon? I think it would be interesting if you do follow the weather at all to give us and this thread a heads up for I would like to keep a record of it and possible track those also.

[Douglas]

Oh being on any type of ship would have SUCKED big time...could you imagine the first guys circumnavigating the globe Those guys had some cojones let me tell you.

That would be an awful way to die.

Imagine that you hate scary rides, (up-side-down, high G-forces, etc.) and being stuck on a scary roller coaster that could not ever stop, and you just had to keep enduring those high Gs and all those flips until you die!... Well, being on a boat in the middle of a hurricane must be worse than that.

[Douglas]

If it's not above a class 3 then it's not going to do much where I live...when I went to ECU I changed that to class 2 because I know better living in North Carolina.


I mean I am not going to go swimming in any bad weather much less a hurricane and I am not going to do anything crazy or anything I just wasn't going to evacuate or anything.


Had I been in New Orleans for Katrina...I would have packed a U-Haul, left and never gone back

One great positive..nice waves butThats just it,One day it was hitting the pan handle of Flordia ?? and the next morning it was "Katrina who"?? We slept on it.....hindsight is 20/20 and brutal.Honestly,I am glad I went through it and stayed through it,Changed my life forever.I sat on the beach In Flordia after getting out in the post 2nd week and literally had my family Fuming and bewildered beacause I was driving back in here to see what was left of home & Buisness.The media really over pronounced alot of things,we are not the 3rd world or beheading people in the streets Lol.....Its home.But next time............Im not going to let the door hit me on the arse

Yes, I think the media only covered the worst of the worst spots. It'd still be pretty bad though...

[Youngblood]

The 2nd tropical storm, Bertha, of the Atlantic hurricane season is now forming from a typical wave from the Cape Verde islands off of Africa. Cape Verde is notorious for breeding many of histories greatest, stongest and most damaging swirling monsters as these formations generally get to spend a lot more time over the seasonably warm ocean waters.

Say hello To Bertha. Below is a 5 day forecast track and as of now it looks to be the type of storm that will form into a hurricane, head towards the Eastern coast, but then turn sharply north, then north east and die off into the much colder Northern Atlantic waters.

But hurricane predictions can change suddenly with just the slightest deviation in jet stream, approaching fronts, wind shear....so many many variables.

5 day forecast track:

National Hurricane Center

Satellite Loop: (This takes a lil bit to load, but Bertha can be seen on far right of screen, heading westerly)

Tropical Atlantic Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

Discussion:

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2008

THE CLOUD PATTERN OF BERTHA CONSISTS OF A COUPLE OF CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW CLOUDS. A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS THAT WAS RECEIVED JUST AFTER THE ISSUANCE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...SUGGEST THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE AROUND 45 KT. THE STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE HAS CHANGE LITTLE SINCE THAT TIME AND THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T NUMBERS FROM SAB AND TAFB SUPPORT A 45 KT INITIAL INTENSITY.

BERTHA WILL BE PASSING OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...SO NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR TERM. BETWEEN 24 AND 72 HOURS...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING AS SSTS INCREASE AND THE SHEAR REMAINS LOW. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR COULD INCREASE THEREAFTER...SO THE NEW FORECAST KEEPS THE INTENSITY JUST SHY OF HURRICANE STRENGTH. HOWEVER....IT IS WORTH MENTIONING THAT THE SHIPS...LGEM...AND GFDL MODELS FORECAST BERTHA TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN 3-4 DAYS.

BERTHA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A LITTLE FASTER
PACE...290/14. THE STORM SHOULD REMAIN ON THIS GENERAL HEADING
DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS AS IT IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE GUIDANCE HAS CONTINUED TO
SHIFT WESTWARD...BUT THERE REMAINS TWO DISTINCT ENVELOPES...ONE THAT CONSISTS OF THE HWRF AND GFDL THAT TURN THE CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD BEYOND DAY 3....AND THE OTHER WHICH KEEPS BERTHA ON A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED WESTWARD TO REFLECT THE SHIFT IN THE GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 04/1500Z 14.9N 29.7W 45 KT
12HR VT 05/0000Z 15.7N 32.1W 45 KT
24HR VT 05/1200Z 16.5N 35.6W 45 KT
36HR VT 06/0000Z 17.2N 39.2W 50 KT
48HR VT 06/1200Z 17.9N 42.9W 55 KT
72HR VT 07/1200Z 19.5N 49.5W 60 KT
96HR VT 08/1200Z 21.5N 54.5W 60 KT
120HR VT 09/1200Z 24.0N 59.0W 60 KT

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[Spicoli]

The 2nd tropical storm, Bertha, of the Atlantic hurricane season is now forming from a typical wave from the Cape Verde islands off of Africa. Cape Verde is notorious for breeding many of histories greatest, stongest and most damaging swirling monsters as these formations generally get to spend a lot more time over the seasonably warm ocean waters.

Say hello To Bertha. Below is a 5 day forecast track and as of now it looks to be the type of storm that will form into a hurricane, head towards the Eastern coast, but then turn sharply north, then north east and die off into the much colder Northern Atlantic waters.

But hurricane predictions can change suddenly with just the slightest deviation in jet stream, approaching fronts, wind shear....so many many variables.

5 day forecast track:

National Hurricane Center

Satellite Loop: (This takes a lil bit to load, but Bertha can be seen on far right of screen, heading westerly)

Tropical Atlantic Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

Discussion:

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2008

THE CLOUD PATTERN OF BERTHA CONSISTS OF A COUPLE OF CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW CLOUDS. A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS THAT WAS RECEIVED JUST AFTER THE ISSUANCE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...SUGGEST THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE AROUND 45 KT. THE STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE HAS CHANGE LITTLE SINCE THAT TIME AND THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T NUMBERS FROM SAB AND TAFB SUPPORT A 45 KT INITIAL INTENSITY.

BERTHA WILL BE PASSING OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...SO NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR TERM. BETWEEN 24 AND 72 HOURS...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING AS SSTS INCREASE AND THE SHEAR REMAINS LOW. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR COULD INCREASE THEREAFTER...SO THE NEW FORECAST KEEPS THE INTENSITY JUST SHY OF HURRICANE STRENGTH. HOWEVER....IT IS WORTH MENTIONING THAT THE SHIPS...LGEM...AND GFDL MODELS FORECAST BERTHA TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN 3-4 DAYS.

BERTHA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A LITTLE FASTER
PACE...290/14. THE STORM SHOULD REMAIN ON THIS GENERAL HEADING
DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS AS IT IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE GUIDANCE HAS CONTINUED TO
SHIFT WESTWARD...BUT THERE REMAINS TWO DISTINCT ENVELOPES...ONE THAT CONSISTS OF THE HWRF AND GFDL THAT TURN THE CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD BEYOND DAY 3....AND THE OTHER WHICH KEEPS BERTHA ON A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED WESTWARD TO REFLECT THE SHIFT IN THE GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 04/1500Z 14.9N 29.7W 45 KT
12HR VT 05/0000Z 15.7N 32.1W 45 KT
24HR VT 05/1200Z 16.5N 35.6W 45 KT
36HR VT 06/0000Z 17.2N 39.2W 50 KT
48HR VT 06/1200Z 17.9N 42.9W 55 KT
72HR VT 07/1200Z 19.5N 49.5W 60 KT
96HR VT 08/1200Z 21.5N 54.5W 60 KT
120HR VT 09/1200Z 24.0N 59.0W 60 KT

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Too early in the game for me to follow tracking.Maybe tomorrow .Right now we have a huge rain band sitting over us and the roads are filling fast.Any consistant amount of rain and we have had street flooding about 5 times this year so far,Hurrican or no hurrican.Bertha will cut north but it's the ones trailing her I'll watch Lol.

Car gassed,Backs packed,ATM raided.etc....ready to roll!

[Deanrw]

The 2nd tropical storm, Bertha, of the Atlantic hurricane season is now forming from a typical wave from the Cape Verde islands off of Africa. Cape Verde is notorious for breeding many of histories greatest, stongest and most damaging swirling monsters as these formations generally get to spend a lot more time over the seasonably warm ocean waters.

Say hello To Bertha. Below is a 5 day forecast track and as of now it looks to be the type of storm that will form into a hurricane, head towards the Eastern coast, but then turn sharply north, then north east and die off into the much colder Northern Atlantic waters.

But hurricane predictions can change suddenly with just the slightest deviation in jet stream, approaching fronts, wind shear....so many many variables.

5 day forecast track:

National Hurricane Center

Satellite Loop: (This takes a lil bit to load, but Bertha can be seen on far right of screen, heading westerly)

Tropical Atlantic Visible Imagery - Satellite Services Division

Discussion:

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2008

THE CLOUD PATTERN OF BERTHA CONSISTS OF A COUPLE OF CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW CLOUDS. A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS THAT WAS RECEIVED JUST AFTER THE ISSUANCE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...SUGGEST THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE AROUND 45 KT. THE STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE HAS CHANGE LITTLE SINCE THAT TIME AND THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T NUMBERS FROM SAB AND TAFB SUPPORT A 45 KT INITIAL INTENSITY.

BERTHA WILL BE PASSING OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...SO NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR TERM. BETWEEN 24 AND 72 HOURS...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING AS SSTS INCREASE AND THE SHEAR REMAINS LOW. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR COULD INCREASE THEREAFTER...SO THE NEW FORECAST KEEPS THE INTENSITY JUST SHY OF HURRICANE STRENGTH. HOWEVER....IT IS WORTH MENTIONING THAT THE SHIPS...LGEM...AND GFDL MODELS FORECAST BERTHA TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN 3-4 DAYS.

BERTHA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A LITTLE FASTER
PACE...290/14. THE STORM SHOULD REMAIN ON THIS GENERAL HEADING
DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS AS IT IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE GUIDANCE HAS CONTINUED TO
SHIFT WESTWARD...BUT THERE REMAINS TWO DISTINCT ENVELOPES...ONE THAT CONSISTS OF THE HWRF AND GFDL THAT TURN THE CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD BEYOND DAY 3....AND THE OTHER WHICH KEEPS BERTHA ON A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED WESTWARD TO REFLECT THE SHIFT IN THE GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 04/1500Z 14.9N 29.7W 45 KT
12HR VT 05/0000Z 15.7N 32.1W 45 KT
24HR VT 05/1200Z 16.5N 35.6W 45 KT
36HR VT 06/0000Z 17.2N 39.2W 50 KT
48HR VT 06/1200Z 17.9N 42.9W 55 KT
72HR VT 07/1200Z 19.5N 49.5W 60 KT
96HR VT 08/1200Z 21.5N 54.5W 60 KT
120HR VT 09/1200Z 24.0N 59.0W 60 KT

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Too early in the game for me to follow tracking.Maybe tomorrow .Right now we have a huge rain band sitting over us and the roads are filling fast.Any consistant amount of rain and we have had street flooding about 5 times this year so far,Hurrican or no hurrican.Bertha will cut north but it's the ones trailing her I'll watch Lol.

Car gassed,Backs packed,ATM raided.etc....ready to roll!

I hate it when they cut north, they should cut all the way to north east to avoid us.

We are due for another one. 2003 was the last time we were hit by Juan.

[TitoFan]

I hate hurricane season.

[El Kabong]

I hate hurricane season.

I rather like it...as we had a drought all last year on account of no storms got anywhere near us......thank you very much Al Gore and your "We're brewing hurricanes" bullcrap!


We need a couple up in NC...I'm not saying we need category 4's and 5's but a 1 and 2 and a depression every now and then would help out greatly.