Cotto should beat Clottey but people shouldn't be counting that as a given. And even if Cotto did win after his beating from the "plaster hands" and then a possible war with Clottey he may end up being close to shot. After those two tough battles he would be a fool to compound that with draining himself to less than 147. And Roach already said he won't let Pac go back to 147. So Cotto would have to come down.