I misunderstood the question.

Marquez has already beat Pac twice IMO. However, I believe this Pac, at this weight, is going to stop him.

Ortiz-Floyd is a complete unknown. If Floyd wins easy everyone will say it was expected. If FLoyd loses most "experts" will say he's clearly past his best.

So, on paper, Marquez is a far tougher opponent. If Marquez-Pac is close it will be nothing we haven't seen already.