Chavez Jr. vs. Rubio Saturday night fight thread

[Mars_ax]

bump: no interest in these fights saturday?

[Rantcatrat]

bump: no interest in these fights saturday?

I'll be impressed if Chavez Jr. and Donaire knock their opponents out. The most likely results probably are Chavez Jr. winning a disputed decision and Donaire winning decisively on the cards.

Rubio is different than Chavez Jr.'s previous opponents because he can punch, but he's not a better boxer. The average KO % according to boxrec.com of Chavez Jr.'s last 10 opponents is a whopping 35%. Rubio has a 78% KO %.

Chavez Jr. hasn't lost a close decision in his career and he's had his share of draw, mixed decisions and debatable results. Consequently, I hesitate to pick Rubio in the upset because the cynic in me has trouble seeing Rubio able to win on the cards against Chavez Jr. in a Top Rank promotion. At a minimum, the outcome I can eliminate is Rubio on the cards. Chavez Jr. has never been down before as far as I know, but he's also never faced a puncher like Rubio. If I had two bets, I would place one on Rubio by KO and one on Chavez Jr. on the cards. Either way, I bet it will be an entertaining fight.

For Donaire, I don't see Vasquez as being a true test in terms of his boxing ability, but it'll be interesting to see how Donaire handles fighting at junior featherweight. I don't believe he'll have a problem with the weight and see Donaire ending this in the middle rounds.

[Mars_ax]

bump: no interest in these fights saturday?

I'll be impressed if Chavez Jr. and Donaire knock their opponents out. The most likely results probably are Chavez Jr. winning a disputed decision and Donaire winning decisively on the cards.

Rubio is different than Chavez Jr.'s previous opponents because he can punch, but he's not a better boxer. The average KO % according to boxrec.com of Chavez Jr.'s last 10 opponents is a whopping 35%. Rubio has a 78% KO %.

Chavez Jr. hasn't lost a close decision in his career and he's had his share of draw, mixed decisions and debatable results. Consequently, I hesitate to pick Rubio in the upset because the cynic in me has trouble seeing Rubio able to win on the cards against Chavez Jr. in a Top Rank promotion. At a minimum, the outcome I can eliminate is Rubio on the cards. Chavez Jr. has never been down before as far as I know, but he's also never faced a puncher like Rubio. If I had two bets, I would place one on Rubio by KO and one on Chavez Jr. on the cards. Either way, I bet it will be an entertaining fight.

For Donaire, I don't see Vasquez as being a true test in terms of his boxing ability, but it'll be interesting to see how Donaire handles fighting at junior featherweight. I don't believe he'll have a problem with the weight and see Donaire ending this in the middle rounds.

I've been hoping someone flattened Julio Jr. for years, Rubio might just be that man.

Donaire always seems bigger than his opponents, I imagine he'll look bigger than Vazquez Jr., even though he's the one moving up to Jr. Featherweight. (122 lbs)

[Gocougars3]

Donaire comes off like a monster but I am beginning to wonder about his courage. I realize fighters are navigated but he talks the talk and doesn't walk the walk. Now that he is with Garcia, that is strike two. I can't see Vasquez beating Donaire after his performance against Arce. I'll say Donaire dominates him.

Chavez Jr. versus Rubio is very interesting. I think the Wild Card fighters are as protected as any but they made a mistake with Khan-Peterson one part of me thinks they might be repeating the mistake against Rubio. This is a hard fight to predict. I can see Jr. looking very good, or taking a beat down in later rounds. I am going to go with my first instinct, Jr. has improved enough to beat Rubio and too much has been made about the Lemieux fight because Lemieux was over rated.

[Rantcatrat]

Donaire comes off like a monster but I am beginning to wonder about his courage. I realize fighters are navigated but he talks the talk and doesn't walk the walk. Now that he is with Garcia, that is strike two. I can't see Vasquez beating Donaire after his performance against Arce. I'll say Donaire dominates him.

Chavez Jr. versus Rubio is very interesting. I think the Wild Card fighters are as protected as any but they made a mistake with Khan-Peterson one part of me thinks they might be repeating the mistake against Rubio. This is a hard fight to predict. I can see Jr. looking very good, or taking a beat down in later rounds. I am going to go with my first instinct, Jr. has improved enough to beat Rubio and too much has been made about the Lemieux fight because Lemieux was over rated.

Although not the main point of your post, how are wildcard fighters protected? Chavez Jr. is protected. Providnikov, Quillin, Khan, Pacquiao - how are they protected?

Donaire has some good wins on his record and some promotional issues marred his development for a bit. Let's see where he goes from here assuming he beats Vasquez Jr. It'll be a shame if he fights Arce next. If he takes on Nishioka, Rigondeaux, Gamboa, or John (I know long shot), he'll be doing exactly what he should be doing to earn respect.

[Gocougars3]

Donaire comes off like a monster but I am beginning to wonder about his courage. I realize fighters are navigated but he talks the talk and doesn't walk the walk. Now that he is with Garcia, that is strike two. I can't see Vasquez beating Donaire after his performance against Arce. I'll say Donaire dominates him.

Chavez Jr. versus Rubio is very interesting. I think the Wild Card fighters are as protected as any but they made a mistake with Khan-Peterson one part of me thinks they might be repeating the mistake against Rubio. This is a hard fight to predict. I can see Jr. looking very good, or taking a beat down in later rounds. I am going to go with my first instinct, Jr. has improved enough to beat Rubio and too much has been made about the Lemieux fight because Lemieux was over rated.

Although not the main point of your post, how are wildcard fighters protected? Chavez Jr. is protected. Providnikov, Quillin, Khan, Pacquiao - how are they protected?

Donaire has some good wins on his record and some promotional issues marred his development for a bit. Let's see where he goes from here assuming he beats Vasquez Jr. It'll be a shame if he fights Arce next. If he takes on Nishioka, Rigondeaux, Gamboa, or John (I know long shot), he'll be doing exactly what he should be doing to earn respect.

I think Provodnikov is pretty new out there so I won't address him. You are right about Khan. I am impressed with his willingness to fight so I can't argue with you about him. Quillin, I think you know he has had an easy path and needs to step up. You didn't mention Kayode but I think he needs to step up. Martirosyan hasn't tested himself in recent fights. Chavez Jr. makes four I think have had it pretty easy and then there is Pacquiao, who used to take all comers but with Margarito and Mosley (and maybe now being a little reticent about Mayweather), that era may be ending (granted Marquez is always a bear so I am on thin ice) but I don't see Pac as a flat out warrior any more.

[Mars_ax]

Donaire comes off like a monster but I am beginning to wonder about his courage. I realize fighters are navigated but he talks the talk and doesn't walk the walk. Now that he is with Garcia, that is strike two. I can't see Vasquez beating Donaire after his performance against Arce. I'll say Donaire dominates him.

Chavez Jr. versus Rubio is very interesting. I think the Wild Card fighters are as protected as any but they made a mistake with Khan-Peterson one part of me thinks they might be repeating the mistake against Rubio. This is a hard fight to predict. I can see Jr. looking very good, or taking a beat down in later rounds. I am going to go with my first instinct, Jr. has improved enough to beat Rubio and too much has been made about the Lemieux fight because Lemieux was over rated.

Since losing to Pavlik, Rubio has won 11 straight fights, 10 by KO, I figure Jr. is going to have his hands full Saturday night at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas, a good old Mexican shoot out.

Vazquez Jr. shouldn't be much of a problem for Donaire.

[Master]

Glad box nation is showing JJC Jnr v Rubio and Donaire and Vasquez fight as well as the Cunningham v Hernandez fight this Saturday as I was beginning to regret subscribing to them with their endless repeats.

I see Rubio losing to JCC by controversial decision and Donaire stopping Vasquez.

[fightscorecollector]

Im looking forward to covering these 2 fights for my blog as they are the biggest fights of the year so far.

I think Chavez will win a decison , something like 116-112 although it will be interesting to see what happens if Rubio lands a big clean punch?

Regarding Donaire...a late stoppage win for Donaire afte an excellent fight. Vasquez is a good fight although Donaire is just better in every department.

[Mars_ax]

Glad box nation is showing JJC Jnr v Rubio and Donaire and Vasquez fight as well as the Cunningham v Hernandez fight this Saturday as I was beginning to regret subscribing to them with their endless repeats.

I see Rubio losing to JCC by controversial decision and Donaire stopping Vasquez.

Cunningham vs Hernandez is a Saturday afternoon fight here in the states, if nobody else does i'll start a fight thread if I can find a stream.

I'm glad Box Nation will be showing all those fights in the UK.

cheers

BTW, "Rubio losing to JCC by controversial decision" is a good guess, I figure Rubio will just about need a KO to win this fight. Even though Rubio is also from Mexico, most of the crowd at the Alamodome in San Antonio, here in Texas will be cheering for Chavez Jr.