Quote Originally Posted by Rantcatrat View Post
Quote Originally Posted by Mars_ax View Post
bump: no interest in these fights saturday?
I'll be impressed if Chavez Jr. and Donaire knock their opponents out. The most likely results probably are Chavez Jr. winning a disputed decision and Donaire winning decisively on the cards.

Rubio is different than Chavez Jr.'s previous opponents because he can punch, but he's not a better boxer. The average KO % according to boxrec.com of Chavez Jr.'s last 10 opponents is a whopping 35%. Rubio has a 78% KO %.

Chavez Jr. hasn't lost a close decision in his career and he's had his share of draw, mixed decisions and debatable results. Consequently, I hesitate to pick Rubio in the upset because the cynic in me has trouble seeing Rubio able to win on the cards against Chavez Jr. in a Top Rank promotion. At a minimum, the outcome I can eliminate is Rubio on the cards. Chavez Jr. has never been down before as far as I know, but he's also never faced a puncher like Rubio. If I had two bets, I would place one on Rubio by KO and one on Chavez Jr. on the cards. Either way, I bet it will be an entertaining fight.

For Donaire, I don't see Vasquez as being a true test in terms of his boxing ability, but it'll be interesting to see how Donaire handles fighting at junior featherweight. I don't believe he'll have a problem with the weight and see Donaire ending this in the middle rounds.
I've been hoping someone flattened Julio Jr. for years, Rubio might just be that man.

Donaire always seems bigger than his opponents, I imagine he'll look bigger than Vazquez Jr., even though he's the one moving up to Jr. Featherweight. (122 lbs)