Quote Originally Posted by El Kabong View Post
They think Obama is going to win North Carolina? WOW...I mean, I'm not going to attempt to tell professionals how to do their jobs but WOW.

Florida: Suffolk - Used a sample size of 600 registered voters, not likely voters. Also it does not state wheather the voters asked were Republican, Democrat, Independent or other. It also mentions that 52% of those asked figured Obama would dominate Romney in the debates....well I'd venture to guess that this past debate has shaken their confidence in that at the VERY least.

Nevada: We Ask America - Sample size 1,152 of likely voters, doesn't state the political affiliation of the voters so you can't sift through the material at all.

New Hampshire: Public Policy Polling - sample size 862 likely voters and then one with 401 likely voters as well. They too provide 0 details about the voters although I'm certain they asked (having participated in polling before I would know)

North Carolina: SurveyUSA - +/- 4.2% they call the poll 49% for Obama, 47% for Romney meaning it's a race within the margin of error. The WRAL poll had Romney leading 45% to 44%. Also it says Romney is winning Independent voters & 15% of democrat voter are NOT supporting Obama's reelection

There's a sample size of 589 in that other poll

Here's the deal, the sample sizes are too small, the political affiliation is not reported on, and lots of those races are within the margin of error OR the polls had been done prior to the first debate which I believe changes things SIGNIFICANTLY
Having read this it's clear that polling and statistics are two of the many millions of things that you don't know anything about. I'm not even going to get into it with you, you're not going to be able to follow it anyway.