Yea kirkland. When I mentioned the 2 aggregate firms most successful in the 08 election, the one other than 538( that is getting so much of the ink), that I was referring to is Dr. Sam Wang. He was the only one to do a better job than Nate in 08. His biggest criticism of the 538 model is it's potential conservatism.
He got the 2004 election result exactly right. He was one electoral vote out in 2008. He's currently predicting 312-226 to the Kenyan. I'm going with 303 or 294.
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