Saul "Canelo" Alvarez vs. Austin Trout - Saturday night fight/chat thread

[DavilaJones]

I wrote a while back a three paragraph long analysis of why Trout will win, but since its damn 10 in the morning, I got finals and stuck at work I'll summarize.

1. 1 I've seen him be out boxed for many rounds straight in a fight until he manages to tag the opponent.
2. 2 Due to his lack of consistent jabbing, he's forced to be front foot heavy coming forward so he can hit you as soon as he's in range which in turn makes him vulnerable to check hooks as the boxer opponent turns him.
3. 3 He has offensive lulls in majority of rounds which leads me to believe he might have a stamina issue or has a disposition of waiting for an opportunity to strike.
4. 4 Squares up when he punches and though not terrible at defense, alas he is not the most gifted and will be eating jabs all night long.
5. 5 I can't recall him fighting a good solid southpaw.
6. 6 His punching power is akin to Angulo, he doesn't have the one punch KO power he just hits hard enough to wear you down. Now this is not a bad thing at all, in fact it would prevent him from falling in love with his power and get caught in the trap that Donaire did.
   
   He being Canelo.
   
   However since he doesn't jab all that much,I think he will even less against a southpaw and since he squares up while being front foot heavy, leans forward when punching, all of that combined it leads me to believe this fight will be very similar to Chavez Martinez

.

[Mars_ax]

I wrote a while back a three paragraph long analysis of why Trout will win, but since its damn 10 in the morning, I got finals and stuck at work I'll summarize.

1. 1 I've seen him be out boxed for many rounds straight in a fight until he manages to tag the opponent.
2. 2 Due to his lack of consistent jabbing, he's forced to be front foot heavy coming forward so he can hit you as soon as he's in range which in turn makes him vulnerable to check hooks as the boxer opponent turns him.
3. 3 He has offensive lulls in majority of rounds which leads me to believe he might have a stamina issue or has a disposition of waiting for an opportunity to strike.
4. 4 Squares up when he punches and though not terrible at defense, alas he is not the most gifted and will be eating jabs all night long.
5. 5 I can't recall him fighting a good solid southpaw.
6. 6 His punching power is akin to Angulo, he doesn't have the one punch KO power he just hits hard enough to wear you down. Now this is not a bad thing at all, in fact it would prevent him from falling in love with his power and get caught in the trap that Donaire did.
   
   However since he doesn't jab all that much,I think he will even less against a southpaw and since he squares up while being front foot heavy, leans forward when punching, all of that combined it leads me to believe this fight will be very similar to Chavez Martinez

.

So this is a critique of Alvarez, explaining why Trout will win?
And Trout will be Martinez and Alvarez will be Chavez Jr.? If that's the case, I don't buy it.

[DavilaJones]

yeah I did a little edit its a critique of Canleo, my bad on that I normally write with a bit more clarity. I should also explain the comparison. I don't think, not by a long shot that Trout has the same pop as Sergio does but I I believe that he will be turning Canelo round and round and popping him with enough jabs to win rounds.

[Kirkland Laing]

You've got to take the fact that this fight is in Texas into consideration. If Donaire Rigondeaux had been in Texas then Donaire would have won a split decision.

If Alvarez spends the fight coming forward and throwing punches then even if he gets picked off and soundly outboxed all night long then he'll get the decision.

And that's what I think will happen. I'm not sold on Alvarez. He looks the business in fights but he's fighting welterweights and light welterweights. I think Trout is a massive step up for him and will have enough to win a UD, but then Alvarez will get it on the cards.

If Alvarez does walk through him then I'll have to take him seriously.

[DavilaJones]

Well Trout did beat Saul's bother in Mexico but I do agree I have some trepidation regarding the bouts officiating.

[Onix]

Gonna go with Canelo on this one, I think it will be his break out performance and he will win a hard fought SD. I think Canelo is faster and has more power than Trout but it will be a war!

[Master]

I want Saul.

[Mars_ax]

You've got to take the fact that this fight is in Texas into consideration. If Donaire Rigondeaux had been in Texas then Donaire would have won a split decision.

If Alvarez spends the fight coming forward and throwing punches then even if he gets picked off and soundly outboxed all night long then he'll get the decision.

And that's what I think will happen. I'm not sold on Alvarez. He looks the business in fights but he's fighting welterweights and light welterweights. I think Trout is a massive step up for him and will have enough to win a UD, but then Alvarez will get it on the cards.

If Alvarez does walk through him then I'll have to take him seriously.

True, For Alvarez, San Antonio, Texas is like having the fight in Mexico, the Alamodome will be jammed full of Mex fans not wanting to see their boy lose.

I'm thinking Alvarez spanks Austin, but then I thought Cotto would too. Keep in mind that in over 50 years of predicting fights i've never been wrong 2 weeks in a row.

WAR CANELO!