Floyd is the overwhelming favorite if he fights Manny, no doubt about this. But Floyd seems to believe that Manny has more chance of winning than most in this forum would believe. Otherwise, he would have moved heaven and earth to make that fight happen. Manny called Floyd out after the Algieri fight and what did Floyd do, post in Instagram the moment that JMM knocked Pacquiao out.
Manny is willing to give in and allow Floyd to have the lion's share of the purse (which I believe is how it should be), Floyd is superior to Manny hence considered to win, Floyd will maintain his 0 loss career with Pacquiao included on his resume and cement his legacy as an ATG. Floyd has the upper hand in the negotiation and it is now up to him. But his silence is deafening.