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Thread: Terence Crawford vs. Julius Indongo ESPN

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    Default Re: Loma v Marriaga + Crawford v Indongu

    Quote Originally Posted by Spicoli View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Fenster View Post
    Marriaga is an excellent opponent. It's a testament to Loma that he's so ridiculously good that a proven top level whacker is seen as a "gimme" for a geezer that hasn't even had 10 fights.
    You speak odds and betting...purely for entertainment purposes of course ...better than anyone I've seen, they've listed Loma as a 100-1 favorite now. Sound reasonable or are they blinded by the light. Seems astonishing considering Marriaga just took young Valdez to the brink.
    Those odds are way out of whack especially considering the Floyd/ Mac odds.

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    Default Re: Loma v Marriaga + Crawford v Indongu

    @Spicoli - The odds are about what I expect them to be, there's a difference between making a fight entertaining/out-performing your odds and actually winning.

    Marriaga is 16/1 (personally I think that's slightly to big). So if you think there's a case for him winning then you have a great price.

    However, I would assess it like this - can Marriaga outbox Loma? No. Can he out hustle/muscle him? Not likely, he's got a height and reach advantage but moving up to 130, so no significant size advantage. That means he needs a stoppage. Can he KO him? Yes (on paper). He has an 80% KO ratio and proved his class against top-class Valdez and Walters. However, there's no evidence that Loma is susceptible to taking a shot and has no stamina worries. When you factor in cuts and injuries then 16/1 for a proven puncher doesn't look so bad (22/1 to win by stoppage).

    Like Alpha said - compared to McGregor (4/1) then Marriaga at 4x the price is a steal. ((Floyd-McGregor has to be completely ignored from a betting standpoint, it's an abnormality)).
    Last edited by Fenster; 08-04-2017 at 07:41 PM.
    3-Time SADDO PREDICTION COMP CHAMPION.

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