Seems that the biggest thing here is that people think Judah will do good early, and then fade late allowing Cotto to catch up to him.

Suppose Judah really works on his conditioning and paces himself early and is still strong in the late rounds.

But it seems that everyone feels like Cotto's power will bail him out sooner or later and are counting on a mental breakdown of Zab. And no one is saying that Cotto is going to beat Zab without Zab not having some sort of mental breakdown or tire.

Would I be correct in that assesment?