As i have said before Mayweather will win but the longer the fight doesn't happen the better chance Cotto has. Cotto is getting better and better i think he would trouble Mayweather with his patience aggression similar to how Castillo did, but the difference is Mayweather is a much smarter fighter than he was then, so Cotto won't have the success Castillo did. Cotto has dealt with fast fighters well, but he has never dealt with a faster fighter who has quick footwork like Mayweather does. I think Cotto would get very frustrated because Mayweather will be on the move constantly and Cotto's rhythm will be off set. Cotto has a good jab that he uses to close the distance between himself and his opponent, but the only problem is that Mayweather throughout his whole career has countered over his opponent's jab, Cotto does have a much shorter reach so i think Mayweather will counter with a right hand over the top of Cotto's jab quite often in the fight. Cotto needs to focus mostly his attack to the body he is a very effective body puncher and i feel he will have good success with body punches. Although the way Mayweather holds his arms in the Shoulder roll defense it isn't that easy to land a flush body or head shot so that will be another problem for Cotto.
One thing that will be interesting is that Cotto does get stronger as the fight goes on, and Mayweather hasn't met anyone like that in years. So it will be interesting to see how effective Mayweather is in the later rounds against Cotto. Overall this will be a fantastic match up to see i think Mayweather wins a tough UD.
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