I really don't see this fight happening at all, Calzaghe's been winding down the frequency of his fights, and as far as I can see won't be fighting at SMW again, so unless Pavlik comes up to light heavy, or some sort of catchweight, I don't see it as a probability, although not completely impossible.

5 or 6 years ago Calzaghe was struggling to make SMW, so to have done it for so long is a tribute to his hard work, but as it will be near to a year since he's been SMW weight the next time he fights, I don't think he'll take a fight there, and it would be a particularly ignominious ending for him to lose his titles on the scales in his last fight.

If they do get in the ring, I'd probably pick Pavlik the favourite, he's younger, punches with bricks in his gloves and isn't afraid of putting the shifts in, even if he's never really had to do it over 12 hard rounds. Pavlik for a hard-fought SD if it ever happens.