I agree with some of what you say. Calzaghe does have a great chin, that is without question, a 6th round KO is a stretch IMO. I do think Jones will be able to impose his will and hurt Calzaghe, but that would be late in the fight after 10 rounds of dancing and playing with him.

The other thing here is that the judges will definately be favoring Joe, I think Jones will have to beat Joe as bad as he beat Lacy or KHTFO to get a W.