Re: Who will win, Obama or McCain?
As a US Infantryman that has one combat tour in Afghanistan and is half way through a combat tour in Iraq I have strong feelings about these wars. Obama's early claims of large troop withdrawals 16 months into his presidency astounded me. But it made sense. Bring the troops home is a great PR statement. Plus he knew once he took office he could simply blaim the Bush Admin's bungling of the war as reason to keep troops. I expect more from my president. I want a plan to WIN not just to leave. I have dodged way to many bullets and had far to many IEDs blow up near me to leave this place only to have to come back. A quick brief on Iraq is that most of its current Shia politicians were living in Iran during Sadaams rule. They returned here after the US invasion and are widely disliked by most Iraqis. A swift US withdrawal will cause to certainties. The Kurds will push for the autonomous nation they have always wanted. And Iran will bolster its support for the Shia majority. The Sunni controlled land has little to no oil and will leave them marginalized to say the least. The sectarian violence will return at a scale we haven't seen yet. It quite possibly could pull the entire Middle East into a conflict with Iran/Syria/Iraqi Shias pitted against Iraqi Sunnis/Gulf States and The Kurds somewhere in the middle. We are winning this war but its progress is measured in inches not miles. I fought the Jaysh Al Mahdi for 72 hours straight in March. We fought them on the streets and in the buildings of northern Baghdad and blead them dry until they didn't want to fight anymore. This thing is real close to turning around. I won't argue that we should have come here or that the planning for the invasion or post invasion Iraq were anything less than criminal but this is the winnable war not Afghanistan. The Afghan people have no sense of nationality and can't even fathom ideas like deomacracy. Most Afghans are hoping to simply not starve or freeze to death. I've seen whole company sized Taliban units salughtered only to see another group just as big show up a month later. The building blocks of government/infrastructure/nationalism are present in Iraq but barely exist in Afghanistan. As much as I wish we were not entangled in Iraq we are. And Obama needs to have a comprehensive plan to win not just blaim the previous admin and quit.
On the economic side of the house I think presidents either gets too much blaim or credit for it. Economies are cyclic and at best a president can help ease the downturns and boost the upturns. I like that McCain is a moderate and not afraid of bipartisanship. I think he will bring less party politics and more solutions. I like that he hates pork barrel spending. I like that he will fight the Lobby machine in DC as shown with his Campaign Finance Reform. I believe that he will place the needs of the American worker over Big Business. I'll say this I wish McCain had stayed more true to his 04 campaign but I understand his need to embrace more conservative aspects of the GOP to secure his nomination.
In all honesty I like Obama and think eventually he will be a good President. I think people do him a disservice likening him to Kennedy. The reality is Kennedy passed almost no meaningful legistlation and if you take away the Cuban Missile Crisis had a disaster of a foriegn policy. At the juncture that our country finds ourselves in I'll take experience and realism over idealism and charm.
Most bad government has grown out of too much government. Thomas Jefferson
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