I've said somewhere else here that i think it's going to be a battle of perception, hopkins will do his usual thing make it a rough hard to watch fight picking spots making close rounds but he will eventually realize a couple of things, one pavlik is not the greatest boxer but he's good at what he does, hits way harder than he looks like he does, and has an ok "D" Hopkins will make it look like the fight is closer than it is, get caught by a shot or two and either fight extremly conservative and pray for a decision or wake up on his stool with pavlik giving interviews and calzaghe watching at home saying "man fuck this shit" either way i see b-hop loosing to the secong "white boy" in a row. Hey but the broncos will find a way to accidently win again and that's always good.