I've only watched the Heels play 3 times this season but in their last game against Duke, Lawson's play was the difference. When he turned it on Duke couldn't keep up. I think the real tests for UNC come from teams like UConn and Pitt with their great inside games. My Aggies should beat BYU but even that isn't a guarantee. I'm also a big Louisville fan. They play GREAT defense but I don't think they can count on their shooters to be as lights out as they have been as of late. I think Gonzaga and UCLA could also make a big splash. For some reason I'm not that sold on Memphis but I think their road to the Final 4 isn't as hard as others.