It's a very good match up IMO. Only way I see it happening soon is if Kelly's camp are confident it would be an easy night going through the non-existent guard. I think there set on going through the Abraham route first though.

If Kelly could regain the mindset he had against Miranda of tucking in his chin and absorb everything which comes while dishing out more, I could see him winning. But I have an incling that Carl is a bit stronger and it would be a close fight.