I pick Clottey for the same reason Cotto lost to Margarito: determination. I don't think Clottey is going to KO him, but I think no matter what or how much Cotto does Clottey will be there. His defense is good enough to keep him on his feet all night and he has enough power himself (and speed) to hurt Cotto. I like both guys so there are no disappointments either way, but Clottey is definitely bigger than Cotto and I think he knows how to fight smarter. I think Clottey wants to make his stamp in the elites and a victory over Cotto will do it.