Given the number of Pavlik-haters on this board, it is a little astonishing the number of people who actually predict Pavlik to win. Usually, it is "Pavlik is one dimensional," and "AA would destroy him," etc. I can see the appeal of Pavlik because he seems like one of the easier guys to like in the sport and consistently takes on the biggest challenges, but generally, this board's posters, at least the European and Canadian posters, put Pavlik down. Now they back him over Pwill? Really?
Is Pavlik's punching power and his size the best reasons people can come up with for why Pavlik will win? That can't be enough. In his last few fights, Pavlik's punches per round have decreased and Pwill's have increased. Pwill has a considerable reach advantage and is coming off of his best win (over a future HOF in Winky Wright).
I am a Pavlik fan. He his humble. He fights any and all comers and he is almost always in exciting fights. What is there not to like? Here, however, he is in over his head. As he showed in his last fight, Pwill is more of a natural middleweight than junior middleweight or welterweight and like I said in a previous post, his punching barrages remind me of of a poor man's version of Calzaghe. Masters of volume punching are hard to beat - ask Bhop and RJJ.
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