I doubt this is his ceiling as far as talent. He is rather young and has a few more years to keep going up. But as far as achievements...this kid has to do something real soon. This could be his achievement ceiling if he doesn't go out and test himself while he is still in his improving years. Even if he loses he'll be able to go back to the drawing board in these years and work out the differences in order to see what he really is, what he lacks, and what works.