Nishioka is a bad dude and he's one of my favorites but I dont see how he can beat Rafael at 122. Nishioka is effective when he's in control but when he's pushed back by someone who can punch, he gets sloppy and clinches alot, unneccesarily. He inside game/mid range is pretty average and be becomes mediocre in those situations.

Rafael can take nishioka's punches but nishioka can't do the same. He gets taken out brutally.