Who wins?

Other than Soto-Matthysse, Khan-Peterson II, Lopez-Salido II, and a few other fights I'm sure I'm missing (alright, I'll be honest, all I do is look forward to fights) this fight is one of the more competitive top-level bouts coming up. It's a styles clash of boxer versus brawler, which also makes it exciting.

I may be in the minority, but I'm leaning toward Devon Alexander here, although I can 100% see the argument that Marcos Maidana wins. It seems like a risky fight for Devon Alexander to take given his recent close decisions over Matthysse and Kotelnik, and I have a feeling he'll be prepared well for it. It's hard not to look to the Urango fight as a blueprint for the Maidana fight, but that would be too simplistic because, most importantly, Maidana is better than Urango. A deciding factor could be that this fight is in St. Louis ("The Lou") where Devon is from and we've seen two close decisions go his way. How will the weight, the fight is at 147, factor into it?