
Originally Posted by
albsur2006
No. I think fight will do more than 650k.
With video games sales, movie ticket sales, and retail revenue all very strong this holiday season, people are still buying leisure items regardless of the bad economy. I think that amount of promotion will get the fight around 700K-800K but I don't think that the fight will do a million. These guys were planning on probably doing at least 1.2-1.3 million and I think they're gonna fall short buy A LOT.
This fight just doesn't have a huge amount of appeal amongst regular sports fans, and what I'd really be worried about is the true lack of support from boxing insiders and fans. There quite honestly isn't megafight buzz around this one, it feels like just another PPV. The buzz a week before the Mayweather - ODLH fight was INSANE!!! It was a legitimate superfight.
With the NFL, NBA, and College Football & Basketball in full swing, people are interested in other things. The fight is gonna compete with the Big 12 Championship game which wouldn't be that tough if the matchup was better. My buddy (who's Mexican) is having a fight party, but I'm missing the fight because I'm being dragged to a comedy show Sat night. If I felt stronger about the fight, I would find a way to watch this fight, but I'm not terribly interested in watching this one. I just wanna find out what happened later that night on ESPN.com.
The fight is a bad matchup, and people aren't stupid. In a superfight, casual sports fans usually hear about it from a boxing fan friend, and then they want to be a part of the spectacle so they tell they're friends, pretty soon everyone is talking about the fight which forces media to cover it more, which creates even more buzz. It's like a snowball effect. In this fight, not that many boxing fans are telling their friends. There's almost an empathetic feeling for this fight. Luckily, the undercard and the Mexican and Filipino fanbase will keep this fight from being a complete disappointment. If the fight was 49.99 it probably would do more buys too.
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