I'm going to the fight!!! http://www.saddoboxing.com/boxingfor.../spongebob.gif

Been a while for me, too. I think Martinez can hang in there for 12 Rnds and show Pavlik a thing or two. A couple things throw red flags:

#1 Pavlik is usually a devastating puncher all throughout a fight. Martinez can't get caught by anything big or it could be lights out. On the other end Pavlik's arms will definitely tire if he is punching air all night like his opponent makes people do..

#2 Pavlik has not really been in a plan B situation since Jermain Taylor. I think Martinez figures him out with some shaky early rounds, and cruises (ala KillerSheep)

#3 Martinez is not flat footed like Pavlik and has a rhythm to punching which can dictate a hard to "walk through" kind of fight. Pavlik is a plodding bulldozer, but don't be fooled, he's got good boxing skills. But I think he isn't going to fare well without intimidating Martinez

#4 Pavlik is bigger. much bigger.. (but we know who's mellon weights more)

#5 Pavlik's turf. Could be another disappointing night for the Argentinian in someone else's city.