Obama will win, with at least 300 of the electorate. He is just now pulling ahead in the popular vote in most of the best aggregates. But the election isn't decided by popular vote, it is decided state to state and tallied with the electoral college. And here is where Romney runs into deep trouble. He is behind in nearly every swing state with Obama already leading, and decisively. Most of the again, aggregates, have Romney's chances of winning the electoral at anywhere from 2-20%.

The two most successful firms in statistical analysis from the 08 election currently have Obama at a 86.5% and 97 % probability of a win.

But I agree with VC, a tie would be hilarious.