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Thread: Aftermath and repercussions of Obama victory

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  1. #1
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    Default Re: Aftermath and repercussions of Obama victory

    Quote Originally Posted by Kirkland Laing View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by VictorCharlie View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kirkland Laing View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by VictorCharlie View Post
    I think secessionist talk is silly but I don't find it surprising. As a nation we are becoming less and less homogeneous in all aspects of culture and policy while having more and more broad national policies. It seems pretty normal to me for portions of this country to feel completely disconnected from others. With people in California getting up in arms over Wisconsin labor laws, people in Pennsylvania wringing their hands over Arizona immigration laws, someone in Michigan bitching about Florida gun laws and people in Texas talking about what Bloomberg is going to ban next, what we really need is for people to mind their own damn business and for the feds to respect the 10th amendment.
    There's no need to worry, even Texas is going to become Democratic soon :

    Could Texas Become a Blue State? : The New Yorker
    I'm not sure what you think soon is. It is possible for a shift but neither you nor the author seem to be all that familiar with Mexican culture in Texas. I think to count the Hispanic vote in Texas as a foregone conclusion for the Dems is pretty ignorant. It could swing that way but once the issue of immigration is put to bed there won't be a divisve issue to leverage. If the GOP steps on their dick on immigration then they will have a serious problem on the horizon. If they are able to provide a coherent non-antagonistic message then I'd expect a return to Bush type voting numbers for the Hispanics in Texas. Culturally Hispanics in Texas are very family oriented, religious, hard working and have a strong entrepeneurship streak. These qualities aren't a gimme for either party but are similar to other GOP voting blocks.
    It's not me and it's not the author, it's top GOP officials in Texas who are saying this. They're saying it's a foregone conclusion. I'm sure you read the article. I know Lyle didn't as it contains a lot more than 140 characters. There's also this, by a Texas newspaper that says Democrats are currently shaving five and a half points off the Republican majority every four years and will win by 2024.

    Exclusive analysis: If trends hold, Texas will be a toss-up state by 2024 | Texas on the Potomac | a Chron.com blog

    Jeb Bush says Texas will be a blue state in four years. That's obviously going to make a huge difference at national level but also at state level as Tejanos vote for better local services and tax increases to pay for them. ¿As a Tejano, how does that make you feel? ¿Would you think about moving to another state?
    I think that Cruz and the like are doing a lot of handwringing over the election. Who cares what Jeb Bush thinks either? How is he an authority on Texas voting. The guy has nothign to do with politics in Texas. I think the Texas GOP see the importance in not antagonizing our Hispanic population and are vastly overstating the issue in hopes to change the message. I think Dems in Texas a getting excited that possibly they won't be a complete after thought in the Lone Star state and want to promote some marginal gains. I seriously doubt that Texas votes blue in 2016 regardless of what happens politically and even if your suggested scenario comes true I have no intention of leaving Texas (unless the Army tells me to). The best thing about Texas is we have a weak Governor and our legislation only meets every 2 years. GOP or Dem they don't get a lot of opportunity to screw things up. People here tend to be a Texan first regardless of political affiliation so even a blue Texas won't look anything like the failures you see in other blue states. I'll say it again though, you are counting your eggs before they have hatced to assume a definitive Hispanic voting block for the Dems moving forward or to assume that Texas Democrats closely resemble the national party.
    Most bad government has grown out of too much government. Thomas Jefferson

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    Default Re: Aftermath and repercussions of Obama victory

    Quote Originally Posted by VictorCharlie View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kirkland Laing View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by VictorCharlie View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kirkland Laing View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by VictorCharlie View Post
    I think secessionist talk is silly but I don't find it surprising. As a nation we are becoming less and less homogeneous in all aspects of culture and policy while having more and more broad national policies. It seems pretty normal to me for portions of this country to feel completely disconnected from others. With people in California getting up in arms over Wisconsin labor laws, people in Pennsylvania wringing their hands over Arizona immigration laws, someone in Michigan bitching about Florida gun laws and people in Texas talking about what Bloomberg is going to ban next, what we really need is for people to mind their own damn business and for the feds to respect the 10th amendment.
    There's no need to worry, even Texas is going to become Democratic soon :

    Could Texas Become a Blue State? : The New Yorker
    I'm not sure what you think soon is. It is possible for a shift but neither you nor the author seem to be all that familiar with Mexican culture in Texas. I think to count the Hispanic vote in Texas as a foregone conclusion for the Dems is pretty ignorant. It could swing that way but once the issue of immigration is put to bed there won't be a divisve issue to leverage. If the GOP steps on their dick on immigration then they will have a serious problem on the horizon. If they are able to provide a coherent non-antagonistic message then I'd expect a return to Bush type voting numbers for the Hispanics in Texas. Culturally Hispanics in Texas are very family oriented, religious, hard working and have a strong entrepeneurship streak. These qualities aren't a gimme for either party but are similar to other GOP voting blocks.
    It's not me and it's not the author, it's top GOP officials in Texas who are saying this. They're saying it's a foregone conclusion. I'm sure you read the article. I know Lyle didn't as it contains a lot more than 140 characters. There's also this, by a Texas newspaper that says Democrats are currently shaving five and a half points off the Republican majority every four years and will win by 2024.

    Exclusive analysis: If trends hold, Texas will be a toss-up state by 2024 | Texas on the Potomac | a Chron.com blog

    Jeb Bush says Texas will be a blue state in four years. That's obviously going to make a huge difference at national level but also at state level as Tejanos vote for better local services and tax increases to pay for them. ¿As a Tejano, how does that make you feel? ¿Would you think about moving to another state?
    I think that Cruz and the like are doing a lot of handwringing over the election. Who cares what Jeb Bush thinks either? How is he an authority on Texas voting. The guy has nothign to do with politics in Texas. I think the Texas GOP see the importance in not antagonizing our Hispanic population and are vastly overstating the issue in hopes to change the message. I think Dems in Texas a getting excited that possibly they won't be a complete after thought in the Lone Star state and want to promote some marginal gains. I seriously doubt that Texas votes blue in 2016 regardless of what happens politically and even if your suggested scenario comes true I have no intention of leaving Texas (unless the Army tells me to). The best thing about Texas is we have a weak Governor and our legislation only meets every 2 years. GOP or Dem they don't get a lot of opportunity to screw things up. People here tend to be a Texan first regardless of political affiliation so even a blue Texas won't look anything like the failures you see in other blue states. I'll say it again though, you are counting your eggs before they have hatced to assume a definitive Hispanic voting block for the Dems moving forward or to assume that Texas Democrats closely resemble the national party.
    I think these guys know what they're talking about. I'm no expert on Texas politics and demographics but I'm willing to take the word of a GOP Senator and the chairman of the Texas GOP when they say Texas becoming Democratic is a foregone conclusion.

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    Default Re: Aftermath and repercussions of Obama victory

    Of course you do Kirk. I've lived here my whole life but hey some post election political projections must be the gospel.
    Most bad government has grown out of too much government. Thomas Jefferson

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    Default Re: Aftermath and repercussions of Obama victory

    Quote Originally Posted by VictorCharlie View Post
    Of course you do Kirk. I've lived here my whole life but hey some post election political projections must be the gospel.
    Those guys have lived in Tejas all their lives and they do polirtics and demographics for a living, right?

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    Default Re: Aftermath and repercussions of Obama victory

    No they haven't lived here all their lives. Regardless, a sky is falling article post election isn't exactly a hard and fast study. I got it though, as usual you found some articles that support your world view and my personal experience is anecdotal.
    Most bad government has grown out of too much government. Thomas Jefferson

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