Labour really are completely fucked. For them to win the next election there would need to be a 12.5% swing to Labour. To put that in perspective, in 1997, the year of the huge Labour victory when the stars aligned for them and everything went wrong for the Tories, the swing to Labour was only 8.8%.

Want to know what's going to happen for the next five years? The first two years will see massive cuts. The next three years they'll stop the cuts so the economy will recover in time for the next election and won't be a factor that Labour can gain votes from.

There'll be a EU referendum which will see a reasonably big majority voting to stay in. 55+%. The out campaign will all be painted as Farage-like racists and big business, which has a lot of interest in remaining part of the EU as it helps them make more profits out of consumers, will back a load of (bullshit) scare stories about how bad things will be if we vote to leave. We won't vote to leave.

Fuck knows what happens in Scotland. Probably another referendum but no guarantee they'll vote to leave, especially if oil is still cheap when it happens.