I don't see Roy as having much of a chance honestly. He's still fast but his legs are shot, that is why he spends so much time on the ropes especially against guys who really pressure him which Joe will do. I see Jones laying on the ropes, covering up and Calzaghe flurrying, maybe not landing a whole lot of meaningful shots but winning at least 8 rounds or so. Hopkins makes everyone look bad, I don't see the same thing with this version of Roy. I have obviously been wrong before. I guess we will see.