I don't think Oscar is past it yet... I honestly believe fighting Pacquiao for the first time is an experience most people do not enjoy. Marquez was dropped 3 times early, Barrera got the shit beaten out of him. Really only Morrales really looked good early when dealing with Pacquiao.

I've noticed even in the Floyd fight, and I've said it before that if Floyd had thrown more he would have dominated Oscar, he should have fought the same way he did against Corrales, but they were both a little gun shy, and when Floyd would throw combinations Oscar wouldn't counter or do anything but try and block shots, Well Pacquiao being both a southpaw and having a higher work rate, that worked perfectly, because as long as he threw punches Oscar would be too busy focusing on his defense. Speed kills, and Baldomir has no speed. I think Oscar wins this.