Right, JT's #1 problem in the right is that he is a hyper figher and that effects his ability to think clearly and use his brain to finish rather than just go all out and punch himself tired. I've said this before (and I'm a Pavlik fan) that if Taylor had Pavlik's instincts for finishing, Pavlik would have been a 2nd round KO victim. Taylor looked has looked much more relaxed with his old trainer back, he has fixed his own problem with a sloppy left .
Pavlik had faced much better competition when he faced Taylor than Froch as faced to this point. Pavlik had been down against a guy who could really punch, got off the canvas, and knocked him out later. I don't see a 31 year old, overprotected Carl Froch having the ability to recover once he gets in real trouble.
People want to knock Taylor's power, but look at what he did to Pavlik. Yeah, Ouma, who has an unreal chin, took his abuse for 12 rounds while being totally outclassed. Wright, Hopkins, and Spinks are all extremely gifted defensive fighers. Spinking is 10x quicker and more skillful than anybody Froch has faced. None of those guys are easy to hit flush.
Frock is hittable. Even fans admit that much. The only way Froch fans can justify favoring Froch in this one is by saying that Jermaine can't punch and won't be able to hurt mighty Carl. Carls best punch is the most easily countered in boxing. He's at a disadvantage in speed, skill, defense, and experience. If Froch has a power advantage it is minimal. So to pick Froch, you need to bet on Taylor having no chin, no heart, and no workrate. Those are the only chances for Carl to win - to hits harder, to works harder, or to wants it more. Those don't add up to the checks in JT's column.
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