Quote Originally Posted by Rocky Balboa View Post
Depends which Cotto comes to the fight:

Cotto 1. He keeps his hands up, fights aggressively, and goes to the body (somewhat like he did before the Margo loss). Early in Pacquiao's career, he was dropped by a single bodyshot from a nobody. No amount of training will cover up a weakness that great. If Cotto can capitilize by going to the body (and he sure can) he might actually shock the world with a KO of PAC. He just needs to keep his defense tight and counter. Unlike Hatton, this Cotto will not charge hands at the hips. I suspect Cotto #1 to win by KO in rounds 8-9.

Cotto 2. This is the Cotto that most recently fought Clottey. This Cotto gasses easier and prefers a slower paced fight. He is still strong but almost sluggish. This Cotto is doomed to lose by UD or even KO. The lightning-fast Pacman races circles around him all-night long with that almost limitless gas tank of his. I might even go so far as to call this a PAC domination. Speed Kills.

It depends which Cotto shows up.
I dont think you can judge cotto on his last match with the big cut he had. He had no choice but to be cautious and stop that cut opening further. However I dont think he has been the same after his defeat against Margarito. Mainly I would say the deciding factor will be Freddy Roach. He always has the best training regime and tactics on the night.
Cotto on the other hand has had all that trouble with his uncle which will also make a difference.