Quote Originally Posted by Bilbo View Post
Quote Originally Posted by El Kabong View Post
I don't mean to disparage Adamek by saying he just has a 2% chance of beating Vitali.....I just look at Adamek's skill set, his relative lack of power, and his lack of defense and for me all signs point to Vitali winning by stoppage.

I've got nothing but respect for Adamek, but it'll be a fucking miracle if he lasts the distance much less wins...he'll be fighting a guy who can box and who has an 88% KO ratio and who has never been behind on the scorecards and has never been down in his entire career. Its just long odds for Adamek is all.
I worked it out mathematically above you. It's a 6% chance.

Hulk is completely wrong on this. If the odds of a fight were 70/30 then how did Vitali win 40 of 42 fights? With 70/30 odds he would have 3 losses for every 10 fights so he'd have been beaten 12 times by now.
Well I'm sorry to break this to our resident Saddoboxing Einstein, BUT Vitali has not fought 42 Adameks. Adamek represents one of Vitali's best opponents to date, and certainly his best opponent since his comeback.

Thus I give the man a 30% chance of beating Vitali.

Its all opinion, and subjective, NOT MATHEMATICAL.