After the wait, it's a very credible opponent for Kelly. I see him taking control of the fight in the middle rounds, maybe forcing a stoppage late on. Hopkins looked tired last time out, and JC wasn't even pushing him THAT hard so after a few awkward rounds it's Pavlik's fight for me.

Little worried about how Hopkins is backpedalling, he's cruised past the 41 deadline, and now he's coming off the seniors tour to fight a young stronger guy, something he said he wouldn't in the run up to the JC fight. Maybe a convincing loss will persuade him to do the right thing and retire with a great career behind him.